European Football 2
ABILITY OR REPUTATION? Odds-compilers tend to quote teams according to their reputation as a big club rather than how good they actually are. It was once said that often they price up teams who have long since retired.
They do so, of course, because the majority of people who are betting on their prices are unduly influenced by reputation rather than form.
It happens in England but it happens even more starkly on the continent and it is well worth making a list of the teams in each league that even the most casual football watcher would be able to name, as these sides will always attract more money than they should and will consequently be artificially short for many of their fixtures.
This list is by no means comprehensive, and you have to reassess how you rate a team each season. But as a rough guide these are the teams to always think extra long and hard about before supporting:
Spain Barcelona, Real Madrid.
Germany Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund.
France Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Monaco, Lyon.
Italy Juventus, Milan, Inter, Lazio, Roma.
If you adhere to the universal rules of sports betting outlined elsewhere, such as being selective, not only betting because you are going to watch a game, doing research into team news, and having a half-decent grasp of the laws of probability, you have the basic tools at your disposal to either take on the layers or other punters on the betting exchanges.
Doing your homework does not guarantee that you will make money. It is how you apply what you discover that is the vital factor. Here are some of the most important points to consider when backing a team in a fixture on the continent.