Grand National Tips

The Grand National

Key Trends (over the last 10 years)
  • Aged between 8 and 12 ( 10 winners in last 10 years)
    Ran at least 10 times over fences (10/10)
  • Officially Rated 136-147 (10/10)
  • Carried no more than 11st 1lb (5/10) ( The last few years have seen more winners with big weights than ever before)
  • Won over at least 3 miles (10/10)
  • Between 4 and 6 runs since the start of August (9/10)
  • Ran between 20 and 49 days ago (9/10)
  • No more than one win that season (10/10)
  • Won Class 1 Chase (9/10 exception second in such a race)
  • Running in the National for the first time (6/10 all four to have run had fallen previously)

Other Factors:
Only two winners had run at the Cheltenham Festival, finishing 7th in the William Hill Trophy and second in the Cross Country, when there was an unusual four-week gap between the meetings. Of the 62 who finished 9th or worse at Cheltenham , only 2 horses have made the frame.
None of the 92 French-bred horses have won but 6 have been placed.
The 72 horses horses to wear headgear have produced one winner and three places.
Since the declaration of tongue-ties eight years ago, one has won, one was placed and 30 unplaced.
All 6 Irish winners of the Grand National had run over hurdles on at least one of their last two starts.
Six horses have been placed at 40-1 or more.